INTERACTIVE ELECTION MODEL - REVISED, USER-FRIENDLY, COMPLETE

[TruthIsAll]

If you have not seen it, take a look. If you have, it's been revised with new features added.

Just three inputs are necessary:
1) Enter the calculation mode: 1= pre-election, 2= exit poll.
2) Kerry's undecided voter allocation (usually 60-80% for challengers)
3) Exit Poll Cluster effect, the percentage increase in Margin of Error (MoE). Naysayers would like it to be 60%, but its really 20-40% at best.

http://us.share.geocities.com/electi...Simulation.xls

To Lurking naysayers, it's getting harder to avoid the obvious:
Kerry won, every which way from Sunday.

Which do you believe, these 123 polls which all confirm that Kerry won...

1) 51 State pre-election polls (adjusted for the undecided vote)
2) 51 State exit polls
3) 18 National Pre-election polls (adjusted for the undecided vote)
4) 3 National Exit polls (3:59pm, 7:33pm, 12:22am) timeline

or

the Final 1:25pm National Exit Poll (13660 respondents), the only one he lost. That's because the 12:22am poll (13047 respondents), which should have been the final, was "weighted" to match the final vote.

[Michael Collins]

Send this link around folks, bring it back to PI.com to this post. This should be huge!