even more Katrina maps: population-weighted, too

[All_The_States]

Duplicate post.

[All_The_States]

The crux of this analysis is so logical and easy to understand once you get underneath it.....

In order to flip the vote on a national scale, you either need magic or just plain math...

If Kerry was winning at 51/48 in the final days of the poll, all you really need to do to make that a 51/48 Bush victory is flip two of the key demographics....

On a nationwide scale, no weighting matters more except the gender weighting....voters are seperated across party lines by who is male and who is female....

If the first weighted average was at 54 female/45 male Kerry and 49 male/48 female Bush the final weighted average was flipped to be 51 female/48 male Kerry and 52 male/45 female Bush....

Which would mean they simply switched a cluster of votes from Bush who had carried the men and switched a huge stack of votes from Kerry, who carried the women because the GOP knew there was far more weight nationally in the women's vote than that of the men.....

Kerry's national average was at 54/45 split for the female and male vote....

It changed to 51/48 split in the ADJUSTED sample....

Which means the female vote subtracted 3% and the MALE vote ADDED 3%.....

Anything suspicious about that? Oh yes....read on.

We know about the CONSPICUOUS Kerry vote "switching"....

If you correlate the data you get a table that says something like this....

K<54 B>48

Meaning, SOMEHOW 3% of Kerry's female voters, changed into 3% of male voters for the incumbent aka Bush....

Which would make it seem OBVIOUS to me....from my analysis....

That around a million point 5 FEMALE voters had their votes switched to Bush(republican) and around 400,000 or less MALE voters had their votes switched to Kerry from Bush....

Double JEOPRADY.....To make the fraud appear "innocent" they switched votes across GENDER lines in both directions, but because Kerry had the advantage of the female vote they took away much more from Kerry than from Bush*!!!!!!

If you analyze this by swing state, and by cluster.....you got the answer.

In areas where 12 to 1 vote switching happened, it was swing states.....where the female vote is "more represented". Therefore its likely that the 9 to 1 or 12 to 1 odds ARE female voters compared to male voters.....In each area a certain amount of male votes are switched to Kerry, while a huge number of female votes switch to Bush....

Its a math program....like a automatic sampling system if you will....its alot like an exit poll, inside the GEMS machine...and it was written by guys like Clint Curtis and Jeffrey Dean..

Think about the overall picture.....If the GOP majority knows that the advantage in the election lies with the female voters, as they figured out around 60% of undecideds are females breaking for the challenger, that's where they are most likely to steal the pot....

So they knew Kerry would carry that vote and that's where they made the vote-switch so it was not conspicuous....
In fact if you notice just three days after, someone had NEP going out and saying the female vote was "over sampled" and was a "mistake" does anyone see what THAT hidden message means now? Somebody's gotta do a swing-state breakdown of the female voters(republican and minority) AGAINST the exit polls, and voila you have your smoking knock-out powder keg......

The FINAL remaining question is.... did Kerry's female votes dissapear and get added into Bush's female column or Bush's male column?

It appears the answer is Bush's male column....because the male vote had the biggest increase for Bush, even after all the votes were in. Gender fraud.....the voters who Bush stole the most from were girls, and that's why they "adjusted" the number to make it APPEAR as though it was a surge (even when his support decreased)

ATS

[wli]

And that's what I'm going on about with respect to the sinister motives behind the Katrina evacuation shenanigans. Also, blacks vote Democratic to the tune of 90% which puts them directly in Republicans' crosshairs. Some would argue it's even more aggressively pursued than the female vote, though I personally perceive the attack as being "across the board" against all observable Democrat-leaning demographics.

[Michael Collins]

Thanks.

[wli]

If someone's got info about how to make population-weighted parish-by-parish maps of Louisiana alone to show population-weighted Katrina evacuation districts vs. population-weighted 2004 electoral districts, I'd be much obliged.

In the meantime, northern parishes in Lousiana were given emergency declarations etc.
[http://holomorphy.com/~wli/images/LAKatrinamap.png]

2004 election results show Orleans parish to be the most strongly-concentrated parish as regards Democratic voters.
[http://holomorphy.com/~wli/images/LA2004map.png]

Population-weighted 2004 election results show that Orleans parish is in fact an enormous population center in addition to being a high concentration of Democratic voters.
[http://holomorphy.com/~wli/images/LAparishmap.png]

Prior to the dispersal of the Katrina victims, the Orleans parish presented a rather large "threat" of turning the whole state blue. Afterward, of course, they are scattered to the four winds.

Is it time to hail the advent of "evacuationmandering?" A clear partisan motive presents itself, as well as overwhelming amounts of circumstantial evidence. Is it time to appeal to the [a href="http://www.icc-cpi.int/"] International Criminal Court [/a] yet?

[wli]

Here is the [a href="http://www.epodunk.com/top10/diaspora/"] Katrina Diaspora page [/a] mentioned elsewhere.