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Janet
09-20-2005, 08:01 AM
German election: a clear rejection of right-wing policies
By Peter Schwarz
20 September 2005

The result of the election for the German parliament (Bundestag) on Sunday can be interpreted in only one way: policies based on welfare cuts and the re-division of social wealth to benefit the rich have met with bitter resistance from the German population and been vigorously rejected.

Federal Chancellor Gerhard Schröder had arranged the early election in order to create a stable parliamentary majority for the implementation of his thoroughly unpopular program of welfare cuts—the Agenda 2010. To this end, he received support from all of the parties represented in the Bundestag, from the German president, the Federal Constitutional Court and the entire economic and political elite.

The governing Social Democratic Party (SPD)-Green Party coalition was to receive a new mandate and critics of government policy from inside the ruling parties were to be silenced, or power would be handed over to the conservative opposition, consisting of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU), and the “free market” Free Democratic Party (FDP).

Now just the opposite has occurred. The election result has resulted in a parliamentary majority which is even more precarious, and has made clear that the prevailing policy of “free market” reforms is rejected by the majority of the population. Political crises as well as violent social conflicts are the inevitable outcome.

This was already foreshadowed on the evening of the election when—for the first time in the history of the German Federal Republic—two candidates, Angela Merkel (CDU) and the incumbent chancellor, Schröder (SPD), both claimed victory and both said they were determined to assume the post of chancellor in the new government.

When polling stations closed on Sunday at 6 p.m. and the first prognoses were published, the result came as a shock to representatives of the CDU/CSU as well as to professional public opinion analysts. The “Union” parties, which were set to win well over 40 percent according to all polls taken prior to the vote, received just 35 percent. This figure was confirmed in the course of the evening. The Union parties’ supposedly impregnable advantage over the SPD—22 percent points in the middle of June—had shrunk to just one percent.

The SPD fared better than it itself had expected just a few weeks ago. Nevertheless, the party was the clear loser in the election, its vote declining more than 4 percent compared to the Bundestag election three years previously. It obtained a bit less than 34 percent, one of the worst results in its history. The Greens suffered slight losses, receiving 8 percent of the vote.

The Union parties were unable to profit from the losses in the government camp. The CDU lost 3 percent of its total compared to the last election, while the CSU, which is based in Bavaria and runs candidates only in that state, lost as much as 10 percent. For the first time in Germany’s post-war history, the two so-called “people’s parties,” the SPD and the Union, polled a combined vote of less than 70 percent.

continued here..........

http://www.wsws.org/articles/2005/sep2005/germ-s20.shtml

Peace be with you!

Janet

Jack Rabbit
09-20-2005, 09:34 AM
Was Hurricane Katrina on the minds of Germans last weekend? The main choices, Schröder's Social Democrats and Markel's Christian Democrats, was a choice between failed policies and what may now to seem to be unpalatable ones. Angela Markel isn't exactly G. W. Bush, but she was promising the same kind of Thatcher/Reagan policies that Bush does. These policies shrink government to the point where it can no longer provide basic services such as maintenance of roads, schools, public pensions or even preparation for natural disasters. We'd be suffering from that even if Bush hadn't lied his way into an unnecessary war or even if he had appointed a competent bureaucrat instead of a political hack to head FEMA.

Schröder has failed. Unemployment in Germany is at an unacceptable level. Why didn't German voters opt for the alternative? One would think that in those circumstances many who have reservations about the CDU would hold their noses and vote them. That's really what happened in America in 1980, when voters put aside their reservations about Ronald Reagan and chose him over Jimmy Carter, who had no answers for double digit inflation. Why didn't Germans do the same thing?

Is it that the world has now seen how neoliberalism works? That a program of shrinking government and privatization really doesn't work?

Normally, the Christian Democrats would have been expected to have won last Sunday's election easily. Did a Hurricane on the Gulf coast blow away the Christian Democrats' chances in Germany?

Janet
09-20-2005, 10:45 AM
It's my understanding that they can hold three elections for chancellor, and, if the new parliament cannot elect a chancellor in three attempts, President Horst Koehler could appoint a minority government led by the party with a simple majority. That would raise the prospect of instability and the chance for yet another election before parliament's four-year term is up.

Can the German economy withstand this instability with the unemployment rate so high?

Janet
09-20-2005, 10:59 AM
Schroeder open to coalition talks
Tuesday, September 20, 2005; Posted: 1:03 p.m. EDT (17:03 GMT)

BERLIN, Germany -- German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder has said he is prepared for coalition talks with other parties without "any form of preconditions" in a search for a stable new government.

Voters denied both Schroeder and opposition leader Angela Merkel a majority in Sunday's election, but each is demanding the chancellor's office, launching a struggle that could last weeks while business leaders and economists warn decisive action is needed to fix the struggling economy.

Schroeder said Tuesday all talks this week between his Social Democrats and other parties would be preliminary.

"It's about exploratory talks -- a phase in which we must talk to one another about how one will bring about a stable government, which we need at this time," he said. "Any form of precondition would, as I see it, be inappropriate."

Schroeder had previously said he was opposed to a deal with the new Left Party, made up of renegade Social Democrats and former East German communists.

CNN's European Political Editor Robin Oakley said: "There's a lot of ritual mating dancing going on at the moment. The early phases of those rituals involve aggression, fluffing out the feathers, and trying to show you are bigger than the other fellow is.

"And before we get down to the wooing in the backrooms, they are all trying to assert their credentials.

"Both major parties having been rebuffed by the electors, have lost seats and have lost share of the vote, but both saying they are the victors and they have the right to provide the chancellor."

continued..........

http://www.cnn.com/2005/WORLD/europe/09/20/germany.election/index.html

It should be interesting for the next few weeks, to say the least. As I said before, can the German economy withstand the turmoil and possibility of a less-stable government?

Janet

Dirk
09-20-2005, 09:15 PM
you don't even mention the most important event: for the first time in more than 50 years, a truly left party has gained 8.7% of the votes in Germany! The neoliberal DLC-like SPD (New Democrats U.S.A.-> New Labour U.K. -A New Center - Germany, SPD) did try to re-invent themselves as a modern left party, the same is true for the disgusting German Greens. The reason that Schröder still manage to win so much voters was his left-turn, although many people didn't give him the benefit of the doubt again. If you would have told me one year ago, that a true left party would get nearly 9% of the votes, more than the Green Party, I would have called you a fool...


Dirk

Tinoire
09-20-2005, 10:25 PM
:hi:
If you would have told me one year ago, that a true left party would get nearly 9% of the votes, more than the Green Party, I would have called you a fool...

Music Dirk, that's music to my ears and I congratulate the German people!

Dirk
09-21-2005, 12:10 AM
Hello Tinoire,
at first I have to say: I'm so happy that you're doing this! I really missed your contributions at DU and I thought you might have surrendered...

But when it comes to this I cannot resist the temptation to post an anecdote, I just came aware of lately.
I still don't know what to think of Lenin - I guess history will survive without my judgement - but one thing is sure:
About a week or so before the Februar-Revolution in Russia 1917, which has led to the well-known October-Revolution a few month later, Lenin held a lecture and later a discussion with young people in Switzerland. Lenin told them that he is too old to ever witness a revolution in his lifetime, but some of the younger people around will definitely witness people, who no longer accept the state of things and revolt.

History isn't predictable and a lot of the times, when I feel desperate about their propaganda-machine, I just try to take their paranoid perspective: they are so aware of standing on OUR shoulders and they are so afraid of us, stepping aside, that they cannot afford their propaganda machine to just stop for a few seconds.

I'm not overly optimistic, but we will see during the next years that the self-entitled "elite" cannot go on like they would like to go on.
At least this is what I would tell some young people in Switzerland, if they would listen to me :-)

Dirk

Swamp Rat
09-21-2005, 12:18 AM
Ich höre, obwohl ich bin nicht in der Schweiz. ;)

Darranar
09-21-2005, 04:26 PM
It isn't revolutionary enough for them, and is not explicitly anti-capitalist.

Dirk
09-21-2005, 11:42 PM
So please tell me, who the ICFI is. Do I have to commit suicide now, cause I'm not revolutionary enough for them? Will they tell me the reasons, before they put me into their Gulag?

Shame on me, I'm not revolutionary enough for the ICFI or DBAA or GFFA or GAEC. Where and when will their revolution take place?

:-)
Dirk

Darranar
09-22-2005, 11:56 AM
It is the international Trotskyist organization that publishes the World Socialist Web Site and is behind the various Socialist Equality Parties.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Committee_of_the_Fourth_International

Their analysis of most things is pretty good, but is unbearably purist and orthodox as far as leftist parties go.